Atlantic Hurricane Outlook – June 6, 2025: Quiet Tropics, No Development Expected
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season continues with a calm week, as no tropical cyclones or areas of concern are present. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) confirms no tropical development is expected over the next seven days, marking a quiet yet cautious start to June.
Atlantic Basin: Clear Skies for Now
From the 8 AM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook issued June 6:
No active tropical cyclones
No areas of concern
No development expected in the next seven days
The NHC’s maps and guidance reflect this assessment, indicating a continued quiet period. Notably, previous offshore coastal disturbances have been dropped and are no longer being tracked.
Satellite imagery courtesy of Windy.com
Sea Surface Temperatures: Stable But Still Warm
Warm SSTs persist in regions key to hurricane development:
Gulf of America (Mexico) & Western Caribbean: Remain seasonally warm (low to mid-80s°F)
Main Development Region (MDR): Still trending above normal for early June
While SSTs provide essential fuel, other atmospheric factors currently suppress development.
Sea surface temperature data courtesy of Windy.com
Wind Shear & Moisture: Conditions Not Yet Favorable
Wind Shear: Moderate across much of the basin, particularly in the western Caribbean and central Atlantic
Atmospheric Moisture: Rising gradually, but not yet supportive of storm formation
These conditions reduce the likelihood of tropical development in the immediate future.
Wind Shear Courtesy of https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/
Saharan Air Layer: Suppression in Full Effect
A strong plume of Saharan dust continues to suppress Atlantic convection:
Dry air and elevated shear persist across the eastern tropical Atlantic and MDR apnews.com
The SAL remains a key barrier to any early-season system development
Expect this barrier to weaken later in June
Saharan Air Layer (SAL) dust data courtesy of Windy.com
Thunderstorm Activity: Localized, Non-Tropical
Florida & Southeastern U.S.: Scattered afternoon thunderstorms—normal for this season
Western Caribbean: Isolated, disorganized showers and storms with no rotation
Eastern U.S. Coast: No significant organized convection detected
These are routine summer thunderstorms—not tropical systems.
Thunderstorm forecast data courtesy of Windy.com
Florida Forecast: Typical Early Summer Conditions
Expect another classic June day:
Highs: Upper 80s to low 90s°F (31–33 °C)
Humidity: Moderate to high, creating muggy conditions
Rain: Scattered afternoon and evening showers likely
Winds: Light and variable
Rainfall forecast data courtesy of Windy.com
Prep Tip of the Day: Emergency Alerts and Insurance
Take advantage of today’s calm to:
Confirm your emergency alert subscriptions, including text and email
Review your insurance coverage and update policy details if needed
Gather digital and physical copies of critical documents
Familiarize yourself with evacuation zones in your area
Looking Ahead: Still Calm, But Stay Vigilant
NHC projections show no tropical development through June 13–14, but underlying conditions—particularly warm waters and gradually weakening shear—will become increasingly favorable. The primary barriers are the Saharan dust layer and fluctuating atmospheric moisture.
Remember: hurricanes can form quickly when conditions align. Continue to monitor daily forecasts at Cat5Prep.com.
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