Daily Hurricane Updates, Daily Hurricane Update, Daily Hurricane Outlooks, 2025 Hurricane Season, Tropical Forecasts, Atlantic Storm Watch Alex Mitchell Daily Hurricane Updates, Daily Hurricane Update, Daily Hurricane Outlooks, 2025 Hurricane Season, Tropical Forecasts, Atlantic Storm Watch Alex Mitchell

Atlantic Hurricane Outlook – July 9, 2025: Calm Seas Persist Amid Seasonal Build

The Atlantic remains quiet today, with no active storms and no development expected. But record-warm waters and shifting atmospheric patterns suggest that tropical activity could ramp up soon.

Mid-July typically signals more tropical activity—but today, the Atlantic remains unusually quiet. According to the latest NHC updates, no tropical cyclones are present, with no expected development over the next seven days. Despite the current calm, strong indicators suggest the season’s intensity is primed to rise.

NOAA NHC Daily Hurricane Update - July 9, 2025

Atlantic Basin: All Clear for Now

  • No active systems in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf

  • NHC forecast maintains zero development chances across the basin

  • This lull is rare for July and may end soon as heat and moisture build

Satellite view via Windy.com

Seasonal Outlook: Above-Normal Conditions Ahead

  • CSU’s July update continues to forecast an above-average season:
    ~17 named storms, including ~9 hurricanes and ~4 major hurricanes .

  • NOAA similarly predicts 13–19 named storms, with a 60% chance of a busier-than-average season.

Sea Surface Temperatures: High Heat Levels

  • Atlantic SSTs remain well above normal—2–4°F above average—in the Gulf, Caribbean, and MDR

  • These elevated temperatures continue to provide plenty of energy for storm formation in the weeks ahead

Sea Surface Temperature via Windy.com

Atmospheric Conditions: Secondary Barriers Easing

Wind Shear Courtesy of https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/

  • Wind shear remains moderate-to-high, particularly in the eastern Atlantic—temporarily limiting development

  • Saharan Air Layer (SAL) and occasional dry mid-level air still suppress convection but are expected to diminish

  • Moisture is steadily increasing, with abundant humidity projected across storm-prone regions

Saharan Air Layer (Dust) via Windy.com

What to Watch Next

  • Upcoming Infrared and visible satellite loops for signs of organization

  • Shifts in wind shear over the Gulf and Caribbean

  • Any African easterly waves gaining moisture and structure

Wind Gust Accumulation Forecast (ECMWF) via Windy.com

Early July Trends

  • Only one named storm (Chantal) has formed so far, but it remained weak and quickly dissipated 

  • History shows many July systems originate in the Gulf, Caribbean, or off the Southeast U.S. coast

Outlook: Active Patterns Brewing

  • While quiet now, the combination of warm SSTs, moist air, and weakening shear/SAL signals a rising likelihood of Atlantic development

  • Hurricane Season Peak is still ahead—August through October—but increased vigilance is essential now

Prep Tip of the Day: Check Your Alert Systems

With the season expected to intensify:

  • Confirm NOAA Weather Radio is operational

  • Enable emergency alerts on all devices

  • Update your hurricane kit and evacuation plan

  • Bookmark Cat5Prep.com and the National Hurricane Center for future updates

The Atlantic remains calm—but the foundation for tropical activity is strengthening daily. Stay alert, stay prepared, and check back tomorrow for your next Cat5Prep.com outlook.

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