Atlantic Hurricane Outlook – October 14, 2025

Tropical Storm Lorenzo active over open waters; no land threats identified

Atlantic Basin Overview

• Tropical Storm Lorenzo
  As of the 5:00 AM AST advisory, Lorenzo is centered near 17.3° N, 44.1° W, roughly 1,330 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.
  Lorenzo is moving northwest at about 15 mph (13 kt).
  Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (50 kt), with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center.
  The minimum central pressure is about 1000 mb.
  The forecast track calls for Lorenzo to continue northwestward today, followed by a turn north tonight, then northeast by Wednesday–Thursday.
  Little change in strength is expected over the next several days.

• Other Systems / Disturbances
  No other tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic or Caribbean at present.
  The 7-day outlook shows no additional tropical cyclone development expected in that period.

Environmental Conditions

• Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs):
  SSTs along Lorenzo’s projected track remain sufficiently warm to support continued tropical storm strength.

• Wind Shear:
  Lorenzo is contending with moderate wind shear, which is contributing to a somewhat disorganized structure.

• Dry Air / Saharan Air Layer (SAL):
  Dry air and Saharan dust are present in surrounding areas, which may suppress convective expansion, especially in outer bands.

Gulf of America & Caribbean

These regions remain quiet, with no organized tropical systems. The typical October pattern of scattered showers and thunderstorms continues.

Florida & Eastern U.S. Forecast

No tropical threat to Florida or the U.S. East Coast is foreseen. Lorenzo is expected to remain over open ocean, turning away from land.
Marine concerns—swells, surf, and rip currents—may extend across portions of the Atlantic as Lorenzo propagates energy westward, but no direct impacts are anticipated for coastal U.S. areas.

TL;DR – October 14 Snapshot

• Lorenzo is active in the central Atlantic with 60 mph winds.

• Steering pattern to turn it north, then northeast; no land threat.

• Environmental conditions limit strong intensification.

• Gulf and Caribbean quiet.

• Florida & U.S. East Coast: no tropical impacts expected.